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Saya terpaksa update semula blog ini kerana saya dapati masih dikunjungi ramai walau pun dah hampir sebulan saya umumkan blog ini tidak akan diupdate .Saudara/saudari boleh juga ke - mountdweller88.blogspot.com (blog kedua)



Monday, February 26, 2018

Wanita Malaysia antara ditahan pemberontak Kurdish di Syria

Zam Yusa | February 26, 2018
Kebanyakan wanita ditahan bersama anak mereka, kata Pertubuhan Hak Asasi Manusia.
Pejuang YPG Kurdish di Syria. Penganalisis keganasan Asia Tenggara, Pawel Wójcik, berkata masih banyak keluarga ditahan YPG dan Angkatan Demokratik Syria. (Gambar Reuters)

PETALING JAYA: Sekumpulan wanita warga Indonesia dan Malaysia yang dikaitkan dengan IS ditahan tentera Kurdish di Syria, kata pegawai badan hak asasi manusia.

Pegawai itu berkata kebanyakan wanita itu ditahan bersama-sama anak mereka.

Dipercayai terdapat sekurang-kurangnya 15 warga Indonesia dan seorang wanita Malaysia dalam kalangan tahanan itu.

Akhbar Jerman, Die Welt, melaporkan awal bulan ini, lebih kurang 800 wanita warga asing yang menyertai kumpulan militan IS bersama anak-anak mereka ditahan tentera Kurdish yang disokong Amerika Syarikat, di utara Syria.

Akhbar Jerman itu menemu bual Pengarah Program Keganasan dan Counterterrorism Pertubuhan Hak Asasi Manusia, Nadim Houry, yang bercakap dengan ramai wanita semasa melawat beberapa kem tahanan di kawasan pegangan tentera Kurdish di Syria bulan lepas.

“Saya tahu terdapat warga Indonesia, sekurang-kurangnya 15 keluarga,” kata Houry kepada FMT menerusi emel.

“Saya tidak ternampak warga Malaysia, tetapi saya diberitahu terdapat satu keluarga.

“Kebanyakan keluarga mempunyai anak, jadi walaupun saya tidak mengetahui maklumat lanjut tentang keluarga-keluarga ini, saya merasakan mereka juga (keluarga Malaysia) mempunyai anak.”

Houry berkata Indonesia antara beberapa negara yang sudah membawa pulang beberapa keluarga pada 2017.

“Lagi satu negara yang sudah membawa pulang warga mereka adalah Rusia. Tetapi masih ada yang belum dibawa pulang,” katanya.

“Saya tidak berpeluang bercakap lebih lanjut dengan mereka kali ini.

“Tetapi saya sudah bertemu dengan keluarga-keluarga warga Indonesia semasa lawatan sebelum ini pada Julai 2017, walaupun saya diberitahu Indonesia sudah membawa pulang sekumpulan wanita itu.”

Houry tidak berkata jika terdapat wanita dari negara Asia Tenggara lain di kem tersebut dan apa yang berlaku kepada keluarga Malaysia itu.

Akhbar itu turut memetik Houry yang mengatakan 800 wanita dan kanak-kanak itu ditahan di 4 kem.

“Mereka berasal dari lebih kurang 40 negara. Terdapat wanita warga Kanada, Perancis, Britain, Tunisia, Yaman, Turki dan Australia,” katanya sambil menambah, terdapat 15 daripada mereka berasal dari Jerman.

Houry berkata wanita di kem itu diberikan tahap kebebasan tertentu tetapi tidak dibenarkan meninggalkan kem.

Mereka ditahan daripada pejuang IS yang ditangkap, katanya.

Sesetengah wanita ditemubual Houry mengadu, mereka “dipukul dan dimalukan” semasa soal siasat dan dipaksa tinggal dalam keadaan tidak bersih dengan bayi mereka.

“Wanita-wanita ini dalam situasi sangat sukar. Terutamanya bagi anak-anak kecil, keadaan sememangnya tidak baik,” kata Houry sebagaimana dipetik.

Houry berkata wanita-wanita tersebut mahu pulang ke rumah dan sanggup dijatuhkan hukuman jenayah di negara asal mereka.

“Sesetengah wanita mahu sekurang-kurangnya menghantar anak mereka pulang,” katanya sambil menambah, kerajaan Eropah sepatutnya membenarkan anak-anak tersebut pulang.

“Kanak-kanak itu tidak melakukan sebarang jenayah, mereka mangsa perang dan biasanya menjadi mangsa ibu bapa mereka yang radikal,” katanya.

Kemungkinan dihantar balik

Pawel Wójcik, penganalisis keganasan Asia Tenggara laman bahasa Polish yang mengetengahkan isu semasa, mPolska24, berkata terdapat banyak keluarga dari Asia Tenggara masih dalam tahanan Angkatan Demokratik Syria dan YPG (Unit Lindungan militia Kurdish).

“Orang Kurdish terbuka untuk rundingan dengan kerajaan bagi proses menghantar balik warga negara,” katanya kepada FMT.

“Keluarga dalam tahanan Iraq mempunyai pilihan yang lebih sedikit kerana mereka lebih cenderung untuk mendakwa atau menjalankan hukuman mati ke atas mereka.”

Kata pakar itu, ia tertakluk kepada Malaysia untuk memutuskan apa perlu dilakukan dengan rakyatnya di sana.

“Sememangnya terdapat keperluan untuk menyiasat peranan rakyat Malaysia dalam organisasi keganasan IS itu sebelum mereka dicekup oleh orang Kurdistan,” katanya.

“Ini penting kerana dalam sesetengah kes, masih ada peluang untuk menjalankan deradikalisasi dan membantu wanita-wanita itu menyesuaikan diri semula dalam masyarakat.

“Bagaimanapun, dalam kes lain, contohnya wanita Malaysia yang menjadi ahli polis moral atau berkhidmat dalam ketenteraan atau pentadbiran IS, ia lebih sukar untuk kerajaan Malaysia menjalankan proses deradikalisasi atau menyesuaikan mereka semula.”

Monday, February 5, 2018

To defaet Najib and stun Malaysia: Is Mahathir the right man?

AT 92, DOES MAHATHIR HAVE ENOUGH LEFT IN HIM TO DEFEAT NAJIB AND STUN MALAYSIA?
The opposition is hoping the former prime minister can win over rural Malays and pull off an upset in the upcoming election

BY PHAR KIM BENG  -  UPDATED ON 15 JAN 2018
Mahathir Mohamad (centre) after being denied entry to visit jailed former Malaysian opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim. Photo: AFP

Malaysia’s opposition coalition is known as Pakatan Harapan, or Pact of Hope.

It’s fitting for a group that has pinned its hopes on a nonagenarian former prime minister to wrest power from the ruling Barisan National (BN) coalition in a general election due by August but expected to be called as early as the end of the first quarter this year.

The naming of Mahathir Mohamad as its prime ministerial candidate, along with Wan Azizah as a deputy prime minister, at last week’s national convention showed how much hope Pakatan Harapan (PH) has invested in the upcoming vote.

The coalition must hope Mahathir, at 92, can endure what is expected to be a gruelling race and that, should he win, he would be magnanimous enough to hand the office to Wan’s husband, Anwar Ibrahim, the former deputy prime minister currently serving a five-year jail term for sodomy. Crucially, the coalition must also hope to secure a wave of support across 119 rural constituencies predominantly populated by Malays.

Tempering that hope is the question of whether the coalition’s electoral machinery is robust enough to generate sufficiently widespread appea​l to secure the the all-critical Malay vote.

In 2008 and 2013, PH performed well, as it leaned on the right-wing Malaysian Islamic Party (PAS) to canvass the Malay voters in the rural areas where conservatism runs deep. But PAS abandoned the coalition in 2015 and now PH must work twice as hard to reach voters in the deep interiors of Peninsular Malaysia and in the states of Sabah and Sarawak. ​More critically, it will also have to ​face off against the well-oiled machine of the Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition – and its leading party, the United Malay National Organisation (Umno), led by Prime Minister Najib Razak.
What, me worry? Polls show Najib Razak’s corruption scandals are not a priority for voters. Photo: Reuters

Signs of weakness

Najib, prime minister since 2009, has been rocked by a series of corruption scandals – including the debacle over 1MDB, a government fund founded by Najib which faces money-laundering investigations in at least six countries. However, some polls show voters are more concerned about the rising cost of living and the health of the economy.

Still, the ruling coalition looks vulnerable. It dipped from a winning 63.8 per cent of the popular vote in 2004 to 51.9 per cent in 2008, then to 47.4 per cent in 2013, although maintained a majority of seats in parliament.

Think GST is hurting India’s Modi? Look at Malaysia

The decline prompted some analysts to speculate this is the year Umno – and Najib – could fall. Others, however, reject this​prediction as wishful thinking. Political scientist Bridget Welsh argued in her book The End of UMNO? that the resources Umno and BN command can withstand any challenge.

Other factors, such as gerrymandering expected before the poll, could help Najib remain in power. In Lembah Pantai, Kuala Lumpur, the district where Anwar’s daughter Nurul Izzah is a second-term member of parliament, a surge of 7,000 new voters has prompted allegations of electoral manipulation.
Anwar Ibrahim may be handed the reins if the opposition wins. Photo: Reuters

Even if PH manages to win the simple majority of 112 seats in parliament required to form a government that doesn’t necessarily mean it can claim victory. Without any rules to ban party hopping, even if BN or UMNO lose the incumbency by a slim majority, Najib’s influence could persuade various MPs to join him, rather than Mahathir, to form government.

This is the moment of truth for Malaysia’s race-based politics

If such a photo finish ensues, the leverage of Sabah and Sarawak would increase almost instantly, as MPs in those states could offer themselves to the highest bidder.

Zaid Ibrahim, a Malay member of the opposition Democratic Action Party (DAP), and a former law minister under BN, said “Sabah and Sarawak would swing to PH”, especially if greater autonomy is granted to these two states.
Traditional dancers in Sarawak, a potentially crucial swing state for the opposition. Photo: AFP

Is Mahathir the right man?

More than half the rural constituencies form the Malay heartland, so it could take a physical toll on Mahathir to reach all of them. He has started campaigning in his home state of Kedah, attacking the government as “one of the worst kleptocracies in the world”.

How Malays responds to Mahathir, not merely in Kedah but across the whole of Malaysia, will depend on the magic of the former leader’s brand and will require a high turnout of voters, both new and old. Otherwise, the support among Malays may not be strong enough to unseat Najib.

The opposition has employed another tactic to persuade fence-sitters. Along with the announcement of its candidates for prime minister and deputy prime minister, the coalition confirmed the parliamentary seat allocations of Peninsular Malaysia.

The Bersatu party, led by Mahathir, will compete in 52 seats, PKR in 51 seats, DAP in 35 seats and Amanah in 27. Khalid Samad, the MP of Shah Alam, with Amanah, said: “To ensure electoral victory in the upcoming general election, the opposition needs to increase Malay support. To achieve this it is crucial that Mahathir be seen to be at the helm of PH and named as its candidate for prime minister. ”
Mahathir Mohamad and Wan Azizah download election materials. Photo: EPA

Thus, by naming Mahathir as its prime ministerial candidate, the coalition aims to debunk the ruling party’s propaganda line that DAP would dominate any PH government should it win power.

The election seems certain to be a nail-biting affair – provided it is conducted in a free, fair and orderly manner – promising major implications for the future of Malaysia.

The Malaysian economy is turning. Will Najib’s luck?

The fact PH’s seat allocations have been settled well ahead of the election bodes well for the opposition, showing a united front. Come what may, Mahathir knows this is his final electoral hurrah and he must make it count