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Monday, May 6, 2013

Walau Pun BN Menang Kerusi, Undi Popular Tetap Kepada PR

Jadi rasanya penyokong PR tak perlulah kecewa, PR tetap menang di hati rakyat cuma sistem demokrasi kita yang menidakkan PR


Despite all the vote-buying, dubious voters etc, here are some telling statistics. Early calculations indicate Pakatan may have won the popular vote across the nation in the 2013 general election.
Parliamentary seats won
2008: BN 140 vs PR 82 (confirmed)
2013: BN 133 vs PR 89 (PR additional 7) (confirmed)
State assembly seats won
2008: BN 307 vs PR 196 (The Star, 2008 results)
2013: BN 275 vs PR 229 (PR wins additional 33 seats) (Official 2013 results)

Popular vote
2008: BN 4.082m (50.27%) vs PR 3.796m (46.75%) (Wikipedia entry on GE2008)
2013: BN 5.220m vs PR 5.489m (Pakatan won 269130 more votes – Malaysian Insider early calculations)
In percentage terms, it looks as if the popular vote percentage has been reversed, this time in PR’s favour.
Blog reader Alan L shares with us his own calculations:
RESULTS BY POPULAR VOTES
Pakatan 5557993 total votes (50.39%)
Barisan 5137133 total votes (46.57%)
Others 167128 (1.52%)
Spoilt 168103 (1.52%)
TOTAL VOTERS in PRU13: 11030357 (100%)
Pakatan obtained 420,860 more votes than Barisan, a margin of 3.82% over Barisan.
RESULTS BY PARLIAMENTARY SEATS
Pakatan 89 (40.09%)
Barisan 133 (59.91%)
TOTAL 222 (100%)
Pakatan obtained 50.39 per cent of the popular vote (a simple majority) but won only about 40 per cent of the parliamentary seats.
Barisan obtained 46.57 per cent of the popular vote (substantially less than a simple majority) but wound up with close to 60 per cent of the parliamentary seats!
Pakatan won the popular vote easily by 420,860 votes, a margin of 3.82 per cent over Barisan.
By comparison, even in one of the most controversial elections in recent memory – when George Bush Jr won (some would say stole) the US Presidential elections in 2000 despite losing the popular vote, the difference in the popular vote count between him and Al Gore was only 0.5 per cent in favour of Gore. Bush ended up winning 50.5 per cent of the electoral votes vs 49.5 per cent for Gore (electoral votes are akin to parliament seats in the US). So to put things in parallel:
Bush lost the popular vote by 0.5 per cent and scraped through the electoral college count by 1 per cent.
Barisan lost the popular vote by 3.8 per cent (almost 8 times worse than Bush) but won Parliament by a whopping 20 per cent!
The popular vote is the purest form of democracy and follows the simplest formula: one man/woman equals one vote. Majority wins.
While electoral districts are often apportioned with the objective of lessening the influence of heavily populated areas, these are normally done within constitutional limits which have been established to avoid gerrymandering by the ruling powers.
Malaysia’s current apportionment of electoral districts makes a mockery of democracy.
Anyone else can confirm/verify these figures?
- sumber 

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